Black-Scholes-Merton Intro
The Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model gives a closed-form price for European options on a non-dividend paying stock. The call formula is . The model rests on five assumptions, continuous trading with no transaction costs, lognormal stock prices, no dividends in the basic form, constant volatility , and a constant risk-free rate with continuous compounding. Black and Scholes (1973) and Merton (1973) showed that, under these assumptions, a self-financing portfolio of stock and bond can replicate the option, so its price is unique and free of any risk premium.
Why it matters
BSM is what the binomial tree becomes when you take the number of steps to infinity. Each tiny step is a coin flip on the stock, and as the steps shrink to zero, the lognormal limit kicks in and the discrete tree converges to the BSM formula (Cox, Ross and Rubinstein, 1979). The key conceptual move is that the option price does not depend on the stock's expected return . Risk-neutral pricing replaces with the risk-free rate , because the writer can hedge away the directional risk by holding shares against each short call.
Formulas
Worked examples
A non-dividend stock trades at A$50 with , , A$50, year. Price the European call using BSM.
Compute and . From a z-table, and . Discount factor . So A$7.12.
BSM transformed option markets. Before 1973 traders priced options by feel. After Fischer Black, Myron Scholes and Robert Merton published the formula, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (also founded in April 1973) had a consistent benchmark.
Within two years, Texas Instruments was selling a handheld calculator pre-loaded with the BSM formula. Scholes and Merton shared the 1997 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for the work. Black had died in 1995.
Common mistakes
- โBSM gives the true price. It gives the no-arbitrage price under its assumptions. Real markets have stochastic volatility, jumps, transaction costs, and discrete trading. The 1987 crash made the constant-volatility assumption visibly wrong, and traders have priced options off a volatility smile ever since.
- โBSM only works because of complex math. The derivation rests on one financial idea, a dynamic hedge of shares against the option removes all market risk. The PDE and the normal CDF are just the machinery for turning that hedge into a number.
Revision bullets
- โขClosed-form price for European options
- โขAssumes constant , constant , no dividends
- โขCall
- โขContinuous limit of the binomial tree
- โขPrice is independent of , the stock's expected return
- โขBlack, Scholes, Merton published the result in 1973
Quick check
The BSM closed-form formula directly prices
Which input does the BSM call price NOT depend on?
Connected topics
In learning paths
Sources
- Black, Fischer, and Myron Scholes. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy 81, no. 3 (1973): 637-654.Original paper deriving the closed-form European call price under continuous trading and lognormal stock dynamics.
- Merton, Robert C. "Theory of Rational Option Pricing." Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 4, no. 1 (Spring 1973): 141-183.Companion paper extending Black-Scholes under weaker assumptions and introducing the dividend-yield generalisation used throughout modern option pricing.
- Hull (2022), ยง15Hull, John C. Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 11th ed. Pearson, 2022. ISBN 978-0-13-693997-9.Standard undergraduate derivation of BSM, including the PDE, risk-neutral valuation, and worked numerical examples.
- Cox, John C., Stephen A. Ross, and Mark Rubinstein. "Option Pricing: A Simplified Approach." Journal of Financial Economics 7, no. 3 (1979): 229-263.Shows that the binomial tree converges to the BSM formula as the number of steps grows, the bridge that links the discrete and continuous approaches.