The Applied Research Process
An empirical project follows a recognizable arc. Start with an economic question, translate it into an econometric model, gather data, estimate the parameters, test hypotheses, and interpret the results back in economic terms. Each step constrains the next, so a vague question or the wrong data type undermines everything downstream. Treating empirical work as a disciplined sequence, rather than running regressions at random, is what separates evidence from data mining.
Why it matters
Good empirical work reads like a story with a beginning, middle, and end. You ask something real, write it as an equation, find data that can actually answer it, let the data speak, then translate the numbers back into plain economics. Skipping the question and going straight to regressions is how people fool themselves with spurious findings.
Formulas
Worked examples
Walk through the process for this question. Does class size affect student test scores?
State the question, then specify . Gather a cross section of schools, estimate with `regress score classize` in Stata, test , and interpret as the score change per added student per class. Each step feeds the next, and weaknesses such as omitted school funding would be flagged at the interpretation stage.
Common mistakes
- ✗The first step is to run regressions and see what is significant. The first step is a clear economic question; estimating before framing it invites data mining and spurious results.
- ✗Once you have results, interpretation is trivial. Interpretation must translate coefficients into economic meaning and confront threats like omitted variables, which is often the hardest step.
- ✗Data collection is a minor technical detail. The data structure determines which questions can be answered and which assumptions hold, so it shapes the entire analysis.
- ✗A model is judged only by its fit. A model is judged mainly by whether it answers the question credibly; a high does not rescue a poorly identified estimate.
Revision bullets
- •Question, model, data, estimate, test, interpret
- •Each step constrains the one after it
- •Frame the economic question before touching the data
- •Interpretation translates coefficients back into economics
- •A disciplined sequence guards against data mining
Quick check
What is the correct first step in an applied econometrics project?
In the research process, the econometric model is mainly the bridge between
Connected topics
Sources
- Wooldridge (2019), Ch. 1Wooldridge, J. M. Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach. 7th ed. Cengage, 2019. ISBN 978-1-337-55886-0.Section 1.1 describes the steps of an empirical economic analysis from question to interpretation.