Futuresintermediate

Discrete Compounding Futures Pricing

Under discrete compounding, the no-arbitrage futures price for an asset with no income is F0=S0(1+r)TF_0 = S_0 (1 + r)^T, where rr is the annual rate compounded once a year. For compounding mm times per year the formula is F0=S0(1+r/m)mTF_0 = S_0 (1 + r/m)^{mT}. Discrete compounding is the convention used by Australian money market quotes such as BBSW and the 90-day bank accepted bill futures on ASX 24, and matches how bank deposits actually accrue interest.

Why it matters

Discrete compounding pays interest at fixed intervals: once a year, every quarter, every day. After each interval the new interest earns interest itself, so wealth grows by the factor (1+r/m)mT(1 + r/m)^{mT} over time TT. For derivatives pricing, the no-arbitrage condition is unchanged in spirit. Money used to buy spot today must grow to F0F_0 by delivery, otherwise borrowing and short-selling close the gap. The choice between erTe^{rT} and (1+r/m)mT(1+r/m)^{mT} is purely conventional, and the two formulas converge as mm \to \infty.

Formulas

Annual compounding
F0=S0(1+r)TF_0 = S_0 (1 + r)^T
Compounding $m$ times per year
F0=S0(1+rm)mTF_0 = S_0 \left(1 + \frac{r}{m}\right)^{mT}
Set m=2m = 2 for semi-annual, m=4m = 4 for quarterly. Hull (2022) §4.2.
Continuous-equivalent rate
rc=mln(1+rmm)r_c = m \ln \left(1 + \frac{r_m}{m}\right)
Convert a discretely compounded rmr_m to continuous rcr_c for use in ercTe^{r_c T} formulas.

Worked examples

Scenario

S0=50S_0 = 50, annual rate r=4%r = 4\% compounded annually, T=0.25T = 0.25 years.

Solution

F0=50×(1.04)0.25=50×1.0098550.49F_0 = 50 \times (1.04)^{0.25} = 50 \times 1.00985 \approx 50.49. The continuous formula gives $50 \times e^{0.04 \times 0.25} = 50 \times 1.01005 \approx 50.50$, a difference of about one cent.

Scenario

An Australian three-month bank bill yields r=4.35%r = 4.35\% per annum quoted with $365$-day simple interest. The futures contract on ASX 24 is priced from this convention.

Solution

For a 90-day bank bill with face value A$1,000,000, price P=1,000,0001+0.0435×90/365=1,000,0001.01073P = \dfrac{1{,}000{,}000}{1 + 0.0435 \times 90/365} = \dfrac{1{,}000{,}000}{1.01073} \approx A$989,386. The futures price is quoted as $100 - $ yield, so a yield of $4.35\%$ implies a futures quote of $95.65$. This is a simple-interest pricing rule, the discrete cousin of F0=S0(1+r)TF_0 = S_0 (1 + r)^T, adapted to Australian money market conventions.

Common mistakes

  • Discrete and continuous compounding always give the same answer. They are close but not identical. For one-year horizons at r=5%r = 5\%, the gap is about 0.13 per cent in growth factor, which matters for large notional fixed income trades.
  • Compounding convention is irrelevant. It changes the quoted rate even when the underlying instrument is the same. A 4.00 per cent continuously compounded rate equals 4.08 per cent semi-annually compounded, and ignoring this distorts forward and futures prices in textbook exercises.
  • Discrete pricing only applies to short maturities. It applies wherever conventions specify it. Australian bank bills, US Treasury bills, and most money market futures use simple or discrete compounding regardless of the horizon.

Revision bullets

  • F0=S0(1+r)TF_0 = S_0 (1 + r)^T for annual compounding
  • Generalises to F0=S0(1+r/m)mTF_0 = S_0 (1 + r/m)^{mT} for mm periods per year
  • Converges to continuous erTe^{rT} as mm \to \infty
  • Standard convention in bank bill and US T-bill futures
  • Always check which convention the question or quote uses

Quick check

Discrete annual compounding, S0=S_0 = US$200, r=8%r = 8\%, T=0.5T = 0.5 years. F0=?F_0 = ?

An asset has S0=100S_0 = 100, r=6%r = 6\% compounded semi-annually, T=1T = 1 year. The futures price is:

Connected topics

In learning paths

Sources

  1. Hull, John C. Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. 11th ed. Pearson, 2022. ISBN 978-0-13-693997-9.
    Treatment of discrete versus continuous compounding conventions and their equivalence in cost-of-carry pricing.
  2. Australian Securities Exchange. ASX 90 Day Bank Accepted Bill Futures and Options Factsheet. ASX, 2024.
    Specifies the simple-interest pricing convention used for the contract priced from BBSW, the canonical Australian discrete-compounding example.
  3. Australian Securities Exchange. Interest Rate Derivatives Price and Valuation Guide. ASX, 2025.
    Formal pricing manual covering all ASX 24 interest rate futures including 90-day bank bills and three- and ten-year Treasury bond contracts.
How to cite this page
Dr. Phil's Quant Lab. (2026). Discrete Compounding Futures Pricing. Derivatives Atlas. https://phucnguyenvan.com/concept/discrete-futures-pricing